"Thinking in Bets" by Annie Duke is a guide to making better decisions in an uncertain world. Using examples from business, sports, politics, and poker, Duke shows how embracing uncertainty and thinking in probabilities can lead to long-term success. Learn how to assess what you know and don't know, avoid knee-jerk reactions and biases, and become more confident and successful in decision-making.

Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts

Thinking in Bets

Discover a proven approach to goal-setting that has helped tech giants like Google achieve explosive growth in "Measure What Matters". Legendary venture capitalist John Doerr shares the system of Objectives and Key Results (OKRs) and demonstrates how it can benefit any organization at any level. With behind-the-scenes case studies narrated by Bono and Bill Gates, readers will learn how OKRs can increase workplace satisfaction and boost retention by focusing effort, fostering coordination, and unifying the entire company. Capture the same magic as the most successful organizations with "Measure What Matters".

How Google, Bono, and the Gates Foundation Rock the World with OKRs

Measure What Matters

This comprehensive book delves into the key questions of how we think, what prevents us from thinking optimally, and how we can improve our decision making. The fourth edition features expanded topics such as risk and moral thinking, while emphasizing the development of fundamental concepts in judgment and decision making. A must-read for students and scholars in psychology, economics, law, medicine, and business.

Thinking and Deciding

Learn how to create a sustainable competitive advantage and become a learning organization with this bestselling classic, now updated and revised. Discover how to eliminate learning "disabilities" and foster new ways of thinking, collective aspiration, and continuous learning. Featuring new material from successful practitioners and new chapters on strategic leadership and future frontiers, this book will reignite your passion for genuine learning, bridge teamwork into macro-creativity, and end the struggle between work and personal time.

The Art & Practice of The Learning Organization

The Fifth Discipline

Learn the secrets of successful prediction with "Superforecasting," a groundbreaking book that draws on decades of research and real-world examples to explore the art and science of forecasting. Authors Philip Tetlock and Dan Gardner have studied a government-funded forecasting tournament involving tens of thousands of volunteers, from filmmakers to ballroom dancers, and uncovered the elusive traits that set expert forecasters apart from the rest of us. Through compelling stories of successes and failures in predicting global events, and interviews with high-level decision makers, the authors offer practical advice on how to gather evidence, think probabilistically, work in teams, and be willing to admit error and change course. This accessible guide is destined to become a classic in the field of decision making.

The Art and Science of Prediction

Superforecasting

Discover why we make seemingly irrational decisions in our lives, from overspending on a meal to buying a car, in this groundbreaking and expanded edition of a New York Times bestseller. Author Dan Ariely challenges the assumption that we behave in rational ways and reveals the systematic and predictable nature of our misguided behaviors. Explore fascinating insights into the biases and tendencies that make us predictably irrational in this compelling read.

The Hidden Forces That Shape Our Decisions

Predictably Irrational

Unlock the skills to build wealth and long-term happiness with the guidance of entrepreneur, philosopher, and investor Naval Ravikant. In this insightful collection of his interviews and reflections, discover the principles that should guide your efforts and what progress truly looks like. The Almanack of Naval Ravikant is not a how-to book, but rather a unique tool to help you carve your own path to a fulfilling life.

A Guide to Wealth and Happiness

The Almanack of Naval Ravikant

Discover how systems thinking can solve problems at any scale with this essential primer. Edited by sustainability expert Diana Wright, this concise and crucial book brings systems thinking out of the realm of computers and equations and into the real world. Author Donella Meadows reminds readers to pay attention to what's important and stay humble, guiding them to develop the skills critical for the 21st century. With insight on everything from hunger to environmental degradation, "Thinking in Systems" is a must-read for anyone seeking proactive and effective solutions.

A Primer

Thinking in Systems

Discover how computer algorithms can teach us about the balance of new and familiar, knowing when to leave things to chance, and connecting with others. In this interdisciplinary book, Brian Christian and Tom Griffiths show how the solutions computer scientists have found for limited space and time can help us navigate the messiness of our daily lives. From finding love to finding a parking spot, Algorithms to Live By offers practical strategies for living a more fulfilling life.

Algorithms To Live By

Learn how to make better decisions, combat biases, and address weaknesses with the help of bestselling author Annie Duke. In How to Decide, Duke teaches readers how to think more clearly and confidently, and to be more decisive and productive. Discover tools to identify and dismantle hidden biases, extract high-quality feedback, and accurately assess the role of luck in your decisions. Whether you're choosing investments, jobs, or relationships, this engaging and interactive book will help you analyze past decisions and make better ones in the future.

Simple Tools for Making Better Choices

How to Decide

Discover the essence of risk and reward with this bold work that challenges long-held beliefs about success, fairness, justice, and influence. Drawing on examples from history and modern times, the author argues that having "skin in the game" is essential for thriving in life and society. From the roles of corporations and politicians to the true meaning of religion, this book sheds new light on critical topics that shape our world. A must-read for anyone seeking a fresh perspective on personal responsibility and ethics.

Hidden Asymmetries in Daily Life

Skin in the Game

Explore the inner workings of the mind in this groundbreaking book that explains the two systems that drive the way we think. System 1 is fast, emotional, and intuitive while System 2 is slower, more analytical, and logical. Discover the benefits and drawbacks of both systems and learn how to tap into the benefits of slow thinking. With practical insights into decision-making in both our personal and professional lives, this book is a must-read for anyone looking to guard against mental pitfalls and gain a deeper understanding of the way we think.

Thinking, Fast and Slow

This book tackles the thorny problem of how to overcome our natural biases and irrational thinking to make better decisions. The author offers practical tools that can help us to think more clearly about our options, and get out of our heads, to improve our decision making, at work and at home.

How to Make Better Choices in Life and Work

Decisive

Discover the unconventional principles of one of the world's most successful entrepreneurs and investors, and how they can be applied to achieve unique results in both life and business. Learn about Bridgewater Associates, the fifth most important private company in the US, and the idea meritocracy culture that has led to their success. In Principles, author Ray Dalio outlines hundreds of practical lessons built around "radical truth" and "radical transparency," which can be applied to decision-making in any setting. Gain access to proven advice unlike anything found in conventional business press.

Curiosity List: Desicion Making